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Public Markets 8-Hour Briefing

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Last updated: March 15, 2026, 8:31 AM ET

Public Markets

Energy & Commodities

Oil futures dropped 1.3% in early Asian trade following OPEC+ signals of potential output increases, while gold held near $2,340 as a weakening dollar offset risk-on sentiment. A surge in aluminum prices pushed China Hongqiao's Zhang Bo past the $48 billion mark, cementing his position among Asia's wealthiest industrialists. Meanwhile, U.S. airline bonds weakened after jet fuel costs spiked 8% on Middle East supply fears, and Chicago's planned muni bond sale is testing investor appetite amid geopolitical uncertainty. The key UAE port resumed oil loadings after a drone strike and fire forced a halt, signaling resilience in Gulf supply chains despite ongoing Middle East conflict disruptions. Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto voiced skepticism about the US-Israel War in Iran, adding geopolitical risk to energy markets.

Fixed Income

Japanese government bonds extended gains tracking overnight Treasury rallies as traders increasingly price in a September Fed rate cut. However, U.S. airline bonds weakened after jet fuel costs spiked 8% on Middle East supply fears. Australian households face increased cost-of-living pressures with inflation expected to rise above 4.5% as the oil price climbs, prompting Treasurer Jim Chalmers to call for investment in LNG infrastructure to bolster reliability amid Middle East disruptions. The planned muni bond sale in Chicago remains a key test for municipal demand in a volatile environment.

Equity Markets

The Zelenskyy challenge over European oil imports injects uncertainty into energy sector valuations, while Air China resumed Beijing-Pyongyang flights on March 30, signaling potential recovery in cross-border travel despite regional tensions. The Bahrain smelter shutdown and UAE port resumption highlight the sector's sensitivity to geopolitical and production shifts.

Corporate Finance

Madison Air filed for a Nasdaq IPO targeting a $500M valuation, buoyed by three consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth in the private aviation charter market. Blackstone arranged a $1.2 billion credit facility for Air Trunk's expansion into Japanese data centers, part of a broader push by private equity into AI infrastructure assets across Asia-Pacific. Air China's flight resumption follows similar moves by Gulf carriers, though Emirates, Qatar Airways, and Etihad Airways remain heavily reliant on Middle East route hubs.