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Public Markets 8-Hour Briefing

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Market Meltdown in Asia

Asian stocks slumped dramatically amid Iran tensions, with South Korea's KOSPI plunging over 11% to trigger temporary trading halts. Panic swept Korean stocks in their biggest one-day crash since the global financial crisis in 2008, as investors fled regional markets. The KOSPI slid so steeply that trading was temporarily halted, reflecting widespread market anxiety.

Oil Markets Surge

Oil prices extended sharp gains as the Middle East conflict widened, with analysts predicting crude may trade at $80 per barrel in the short term. Asian LNG prices surged to a three-year peak as the conflict forced a shutdown at Qatar's export plant and disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi oil storage is filling rapidly as the key export route effectively remains closed to shipping.

Currencies Under Pressure

Asian FX slipped further as oil prices spiked, with the Indian rupee hitting a record low. The Indian rupee fell to an all-time low as crude oil price increases fueled inflation concerns. Central banks in Indonesia and India intervened in foreign-exchange markets to support their currencies as emerging market assets came under pressure. The Taiwan dollar dropped to its weakest since May as heavy foreign outflows continued.

Global Market Reactions

JPMorgan characterized the Iran war as a "modest macro-economic shock" unlikely to derail global expansion. Barclays expects markets to be down for a bit amid Middle East tensions. Goldman Sachs Chairman David Solomon expressed surprise at the "benign" market reaction to the conflict, suggesting it will take weeks to understand more fully.

Haven Assets Trade

Gold gained after a 5% drop as Iran conflict worries supported haven demand. Gold advanced as dip-buyers entered the market despite dollar strength. Investors turned away from the yen as a haven asset during the Iran war, departing from traditional patterns during geopolitical turmoil.

Tech Sector Volatility

Alibaba shares slid after the Qwen AI team lead unexpectedly quit. Samsung shares fell further after reports of US chip production delays. MongoDB tumbled over 20% after giving weaker-than-expected forecasts for full-year revenue and first-quarter adjusted earnings.