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Public Markets 8-Hour Briefing

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Market Moves

The S&P 500 fell 1.2% in its worst week since June, with tech stocks leading the decline. MongoDB shares tumbled 20% after weak revenue forecasts, while Blackstone executives defended their private credit fund amid investor pressure.

Geopolitical Impact

Gold surged as traders bet on dip-buying amid Middle East tensions, with front-month futures reversing after a 4% drop. Oil prices spiked as Iran war fears disrupted Gulf supply, while aluminum traders braced for turmoil from Iranian supply cuts.

Tech & Innovation

Anthropic’s Claude app dominated free downloads, but Mongo DB’s struggles highlighted AI’s mixed impact on markets. SpaceX added Citigroup to its IPO bank lineup, signaling confidence in its $4B valuation.

Policy & Regulation

The SEC pushed back on high-leverage ETF plans, while Trump vowed to escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. NYSE leaders emphasized reforms to stabilize public markets amid geopolitical risks.

Macro Trends

Bond traders curtailed rate-cut bets as Middle East tensions inflated inflation fears. Dollar demand rose in currency swaps as risk appetite waned, and munis faced their largest selloff since 2020.

Global Risks

Iran strikes on Saudi infrastructure and U.S. embassies deepened market uncertainty, while China’s NPC debate weighed on global economic priorities. Wheat prices stayed mixed as supply chains adjusted to regional disruptions.

Final Note

CrowdStrike outperformed expectations, but U.S. banks remain on high alert for cyberattacks linked to escalating Middle East tensions. Markets face a “painful” 18–24 months as geopolitical risks and AI disruption collide.