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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Last updated: March 15, 2026, 6:31 PM ET

Energy & Commodities

Oil futures slipped 1.3% ft.com in early Asian trade as OPEC+ signaled potential output increases, while gold held steady nytimes.com near $2,340/oz despite a weakening dollar. In fixed income, Japanese government bonds extended their rally bloomberg.com tracking overnight gains in U.S. Treasurys as traders priced in a September Fed rate cut.

A surge in aluminum prices ft.com catapulted China Hongqiao's Zhang Bo to a $48 billion fortune, making him one of Asia's wealthiest industrialists. Meanwhile, Bahrain's aluminum smelter began phased production cuts bloomberg.com to preserve raw materials as the vital Strait of Hormuz remains near-shutdown.

Geopolitical Developments

India touted diplomatic efforts ft.com with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while Pakistani airstrikes killed at least 75 civilians nytimes.com in Afghanistan, displacing 115,000 and prompting vows of escalation from both sides. The U.S. reiterated its planned 172-million-barrel Strategic Petroleum Reserve release bloomberg.com would be structured as an exchange.

Energy Secretary Chris Wright signaled nytimes.com the Iran war may last several more weeks with oil and gasoline prices elevated as the U.S. and Israel seek to destroy Iranian military capabilities. The International Energy Agency said oil from emergency stockpiles bloomberg.com will flow immediately to Asia as buyers clamor to replace war-disrupted barrels.

Corporate & Financial Markets

Blackstone arranged a $1.2 billion credit facility wsj.com for Air Trunk's expansion into Japanese data centers, part of a broader push by private equity into AI infrastructure assets across Asia-Pacific. Triton Partners raised €5.5 billion bloomberg.com for its new flagship fund, marking an important milestone after the European buyout firm's ability to attract fresh capital was delayed.

Morgan Stanley warned ft.com that escalating Middle East tensions could push oil above $100/barrel, while TD Securities said corporate bonds are now cheap enough to consider buying bloomberg.com. JPMorgan made a bold push to offload huge LBO debt bloomberg.com, testing investor appetite as Jamie Dimon has warned for weeks that the credit cycle will eventually sour.

Regional Markets

Australian households face increased cost-of-living pressures bloomberg.com with inflation set to rise above 4.5% as oil prices climb, Treasurer Jim Chalmers said. Indonesia's Prabowo said he would only consider breaching bloomberg.com the budget deficit cap for emergency situations, remaining committed to fiscal discipline.

China's credit expansion picked up bloomberg.com in February, helped by improved corporate lending despite slower government bond sales. China eased its ban on BHP iron ore bloomberg.com after steel mills rushed to buy, temporarily lifting restrictions on one of BHP Group's grades.

Technology & Innovation

Over-the-counter crypto betting platform Polymarket saw record trading volumes wsj.com as retail traders rushed into oil bets amid Iran war-driven price swings. The biggest U.S. ETF linked to crude prices saw record inflows ft.com as the oil market experienced its "meme" moment.

Hedge funds turned to exotic hybrid options bloomberg.com to trade cross-market gyrations as wild swings in oil since the start of the Iran war prompted institutional investors to seek protection against huge cross-asset volatility.

Aviation & Transportation

UAE cut partners' crude shipments bloomberg.com, sending flows to Fujairah port outside the all-but-shuttered Strait of Hormuz. Air China will resume Beijing-Pyongyang flights bloomberg.com on March 30, the first direct flights between the capitals in years.

TotalEnergies halted production in Qatar, Iraq wsj.com and the UAE offshore, representing about 15% of the company's total output amid Middle East fighting. Gulf airlines like Emirates, Qatar Airways and Etihad Airways grounded flights nytimes.com as the war disrupted their hub-and-spoke business models.

Industrial & Manufacturing

Germany's chemical industry warned bloomberg.com that shockwaves from the Iran war are beginning to ricochet through Europe's largest economy, with companies dialing down output as supply chains seize up. Gulf oil shock deepens crisis for Asia's petrochemicals industry ft.com, with Japan and South Korea exposed to shortages of key components for plastics.

Thai rice exports to the Middle East halted bloomberg.com as the escalating war disrupts shipments to the nation's largest market for the grain, further straining farmers grappling with rising costs and reduced demand.

Metals & Mining

JSW Steel won rights to develop a coking coal mine bloomberg.com in Mozambique's Tete province, securing access to a key raw material used in steel manufacturing. China's state-backed iron ore trader told steel mills bloomberg.com it's temporarily easing restrictions on BHP Group's grades after worries over broadening bans sent prices soaring.

Agriculture & Food

Bangladesh lifted fuel sale restrictions bloomberg.com ahead of the Eid-ul-Fitr holidays, boosting supplies and ensuring enough water to irrigate paddy fields. UK set out a £50 million household support package ft.com as energy costs rise, targeting people using heating oil to prevent a wider summer price surge.

Legal & Regulatory

The UK petrol trade body disputed ministers' comments ft.com over "inflammatory" suggestions retailers are "price gouging," claiming staff have been abused by the public following government statements. The US Energy Department reiterated bloomberg.com that a planned 172-million-barrel release from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve would be structured as an exchange.

Market Sentiment

The dollar extended gains wsj.com as Iran conflict shows no signs of abating, strengthening to its highest level in more than three months as investors sought safe-haven assets. Financial stocks suffered their worst start to a year bloomberg.com since the Covid pandemic, with investors expecting more pain ahead as worries over everything from private credit to the Iran war roil the troubled sector.

BofA's Michael Hartnett warned bloomberg.com markets are starting to look like 2008 as the spike in oil prices and growing concerns around private credit cause market activity to resemble the lead-up to the global financial crisis.