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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Public Markets

Energy Markets

Oil futures dropped 1.3% bloomberg.com in early Asian trade after OPEC+ signaled potential output increases, while gold held near $2,340 wsj.com as a weakening dollar offset risk-on sentiment. A surge in aluminum prices bloomberg.com pushed China Hongqiao's Zhang Bo past the $48 billion mark, cementing his position among Asia's wealthiest industrialists. Meanwhile, Thai government fuel funds burned $32 million daily bloomberg.com as officials widened demand-curbing measures to combat surging global diesel prices. The IEA proposed the largest-ever oil reserve release bloomberg.com to contain energy price spikes, with Goldman Sachs estimating the move could lower crude prices by $7 a barrel wsj.com.

Fixed Income

Japanese government bonds extended gains bloomberg.com tracking overnight Treasury rallies as traders increasingly price in a September Fed rate cut. Meanwhile, U.S. airline bonds weakened bloomberg.com after jet fuel costs spiked 8% on Middle East supply fears, and Chicago's planned muni bond sale bloomberg.com is testing investor appetite amid geopolitical uncertainty. Private credit markets showed strain as Pimco blamed sloppy underwriting bloomberg.com for the sector's "reckoning," while JPMorgan marked down loan portfolios ft.com of private credit groups. Ares Management plans its first Asia local currency private credit fund bloomberg.com in Thailand as the country emerges as a new market for alternative lending.

Equities & IPOs

Mainland Chinese investors purchased a record HK$37.2 billion bloomberg.com of Hong Kong shares through the trading link, reversing last week's unprecedented selloff. Nintendo shares soared 10% bloomberg.com following the surprise success of its new Pokémon game, helping offset concerns about rising memory costs. Carlyle Group-backed Quest Global invited banks to pitch for a $1 billion IPO bloomberg.com, while Flipkart planned to invite banks for its potential IPO bloomberg.com as early as April. Saudi miner Saleh Abdulaziz Al Rashed & Sons surged in its Riyadh debut bloomberg.com, defying ongoing Iranian missile strikes across the Gulf.

Corporate News

UBS's global entrepreneur clients bet AI offers biggest opportunities bloomberg.com over the next five years, contrasting with industries viewing it as a threat. Amazon launched a record eight-part euro bond sale bloomberg.com targeting €10 billion ($11.6 to fund AI investments. Haleon invested £65 million in a Shanghai plant bloomberg.com as the consumer health giant doubles down on China and India growth. Legal & General planned a £1.2 billion share buyback bloomberg.com as profits climbed, while Porsche expected further earnings hits wsj.com as its turnaround continues.

Geopolitical Impact

The Iran war lifted German arms maker Rheinmetall's sales outlook wsj.com by as much as 45% as Europe continues to rearm. Swiss arms exports neared all-time highs bloomberg.com amid booming European defense spending. The conflict pushed South Korea to speed up nuclear restarts bloomberg.com to secure energy amid Middle East turmoil. China's vast crude reserves gave its refiners breathing space bloomberg.com as war roiled production and shipping, a payoff from years of stockpiling. The UAE dealt with a refinery-area fire bloomberg.com following a drone strike, while Qatar's LNG export halt extended bloomberg.com to the longest streak since 2008, threatening to further boost prices.

Market Sentiment

A gauge of fear in Japanese stock markets surged to highest levels since 2020 bloomberg.com as oil price spikes dampened economic optimism. Credit risk eased most since June bloomberg.com after Trump signaled the Iran war may be nearing an end. The S&P 500 faced a potential 10% correction bloomberg.com as war risks build, according to JPMorgan. "Full-blown panic unwind" in momentum trades signaled a market nadir bloomberg.com as high-flying stocks experienced steep drawdowns. The dollar declined as Trump suggested the Middle East war could end soon bloomberg.com, providing relief to the upended global energy market.

Regional Markets

Australia's dollar emerged as an unlikely haven bloomberg.com, buoyed by elevated oil and gas prices and growing bets on potential RBA rate hikes. Kenya weighed plans to extend a colonial-era rail line bloomberg.com to its north-western oil fields to ferry crude to an Indian Ocean port by 2030. The IEA's proposed oil reserve release bloomberg.com aims to address supply and market volatility since the Iran war outbreak. Venezuela's National Assembly gave preliminary approval to a new mining bill bloomberg.com as the government pledges to move at "Trump speed" to revive the sector and attract foreign investment.

Economic Indicators

France stuck to its growth forecasts bloomberg.com despite energy price surges following the Iran war. The UK's budget watchdog warned energy price surges could derail inflation retreat ft.com. China's central bank signaled increased tolerance for yuan flexibility bloomberg.com, showing confidence it can insulate the currency from market turmoil. The Group of Seven supported strategic reserve use in principle bloomberg.com to address oil supply and market volatility. OPEC+ members considered potential output increases bloomberg.com as governments stepped up efforts to calm energy markets.

Technology & Innovation

BioNTech's stock fell 14% premarket wsj.com after cofounders announced plans to exit and issued revenue guidance missing Wall Street forecasts. The billion-dollar AI startup founded by teenagers wsj.com attracted brands including McDonald's and EY by betting AI bots can predict human behavior better than humans. YouTube added tools to help public figures report fake videos nytimes.com amid pressure to crack down on deepfake content. China's Gen Z day traders increasingly trust chatbots bloomberg.com and have become important drivers of investment growth in the world's second-largest economy.

Private Markets

Blackstone arranged a $1.2 billion credit facility bloomberg.com for Air Trunk's expansion into Japanese data centers. Private credit lenders provided over $400 million bloomberg.com to Blackstone's Enverus after supplying roughly $3 billion in December. Trafigura secured a new $3 billion credit facility bloomberg.com to provide a liquidity buffer against sharp swings in commodity markets. EQT Partners funded Jeff Soar's WTS UK ft.com, which will use a leaner model than larger rivals to challenge the Big Four accounting firms. A unit of Adani Group raised about $500 million bloomberg.com through a bond privately placed with funds managed by Apollo Global Management.