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Poland's Central Bank May Pause Rate Cuts

Bloomberg Markets •
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Poland's central bank is likely to halt its recent cycle of interest-rate cuts after data showed unexpectedly low inflation. The move reflects growing uncertainty about the economic outlook and could signal a shift in the bank's policy approach.

The decision follows months of aggressive monetary easing as policymakers sought to stimulate growth. However, persistently weak price pressures have complicated their calculus. Markets now expect officials to hold rates steady while assessing whether further cuts are warranted.

Economists are watching closely for signals about future policy direction. If inflation remains subdued, the bank might resume cuts later this year. Alternatively, stronger price data could prompt officials to maintain current levels longer than expected.

Investors are positioning for continued volatility in Polish bonds and the zloty. The central bank's next meeting will provide critical clues about the trajectory of monetary policy through 2026.