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Philippines Inflation Rises to 2.4% Amid Iran War Fears

Bloomberg Markets •
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Philippine inflation accelerated to 2.4% in February, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and complicating the central bank's monetary policy options. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas faces mounting pressure as price pressures narrow the space for further easing at a time when economic growth remains sluggish. The central bank has already cut its key rate by 225 basis points since August 2024.

Economists warn that inflation could accelerate further as the conflict in Iran deepens, threatening global oil supplies. The Philippines, heavily dependent on fuel and food imports, is considered one of the most vulnerable economies in the region to these risks. The Philippine peso has already weakened amid these concerns, potentially broadening imported inflation and limiting the central bank's ability to reduce borrowing costs.

The latest policy rate cut came after the nation's economic growth slowed to 3% in the fourth quarter, the weakest pace in 14 years outside of the pandemic. BSP Governor Eli Remolona has indicated that monetary policy "cannot do much more" to support economic growth at this point, suggesting the central bank may be nearing the end of its easing cycle.