Goldman Sachs strategists have upgraded global equities to overweight for the short term, citing strong earnings momentum and improved valuations. The team, led by Christian Mueller-Glissmann, noted that recent market pullbacks have created a more attractive entry point ahead of a crucial third-quarter reporting season. Analysts project a 25% year-on-year profit surge for S&P 500 companies, but Goldman expects results to exceed even this high bar.
The firm adopts a barbell strategy, favoring global tech names alongside selective rate-sensitive bond proxies that have declined since summer. They remain overweight on Asia and the US, while underweight on Europe. Key risks include rising rates, energy prices, and potential volatility from the US midterm elections.
On bonds, Goldman shifts to a neutral stance over three months but moves to overweight over 12 months, viewing fixed income as a growing hedge for longer-term portfolios.
Source: Bloomberg Markets · Summarized by HeadlinesBriefing