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Apollo warns private equity to cut valuations as rates rise

Bloomberg Markets •
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Apollo Global Management co‑president Scott Kleinman warned that private‑equity firms must trim deal prices as interest rates rise. He said the sector “lost its way a little bit” during the era of cheap credit, and that the normalization of borrowing costs will compel firms to “start valuation capitulation on valuations.”

The comment follows a multi‑year stretch when low‑rate financing fueled aggressive bidding, inflating multiples well above historic norms. With the Federal Reserve tightening, debt‑funded buyouts become costlier, squeezing profit margins and prompting limited partners to demand more disciplined pricing. Investors should expect slower deal flow and tighter pricing discipline across buy‑out and growth‑equity segments.

Kleinman’s warning signals a shift from the chase for headline‑making transactions to a focus on value creation under tighter financial conditions. Firms that adapt pricing strategies now will preserve returns and avoid the erosion of capital that has plagued recent vintages. The private‑equity market is entering a valuation correction phase.

Analysts expect the pull‑back to pressure deal sizes, with mid‑market transactions likely to see the steepest discounts. Capital‑intensive sectors such as technology and healthcare could feel tighter squeezes, while distressed‑asset opportunities may grow as sellers adjust expectations. The environment will test firms’ ability to source deals without over‑leveraging.