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ADM Raises 2026 Outlook on Biofuels Growth

Bloomberg Markets •
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Archer‑Daniels‑Midland Co. (ADM) raised its 2026 profit outlook for a second time, signaling confidence in a growing biofuels market. The decision follows a steady uptick in renewable fuel demand and supportive policy frameworks across the globe.

Biofuels, especially cellulosic ethanol and renewable diesel, are expected to capture a larger share of the transportation fuel mix. With stricter emissions targets and incentives in the US and European Union, demand for these low‑carbon alternatives is projected to rise sharply, boosting ADM’s margins. The company estimates that biofuel production will account for about 30% of its future revenue by 2026, up from 20% in 2024.

The crop trader’s shift reflects a strategic pivot toward higher‑margin renewable streams, reducing reliance on commodity grains alone. By incorporating advanced biofuel production into its portfolio, ADM aims to diversify revenue and capitalize on the growing sustainability narrative.

Investors reacted positively, with ADM shares climbing 3% in after‑hours trading. Analysts view the revised outlook as a sign of robust growth potential, though they caution that volatile commodity prices and policy changes could still impact performance. The company also highlighted improvements in cost efficiencies and scale in its biorefineries, which are expected to further lift earnings.