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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Energy &Commodities

Oil futures dropped 1.3% ft.com in early Asian trade after OPEC+ signaled potential output increases, while gold held near $2,340 wsj.com as a weakening dollar offset risk-on sentiment. A surge in aluminum prices bloomberg.com pushed China Hongqiao's Zhang Bo past the $48 billion mark, cementing his position among Asia's wealthiest industrialists. European natural gas cooled bloomberg.com following US President Trump's prediction the Iran war could end soon, as he faces mounting pressure over how the conflict has upended energy markets. Meanwhile, U.S. airline bonds weakened wsj.com after jet fuel costs spiked 8% on Middle East supply fears, and Chicago's planned muni bond sale wsj.com is testing investor appetite amid geopolitical uncertainty.

Fixed Income & Markets

Japanese government bonds extended gains bloomberg.com tracking overnight Treasury rallies as traders increasingly price in a September Fed rate cut. The FAA's JetBlue halt nytimes.com highlighted operational fragility, with the agency issuing a ground stop early Tuesday at the airline's request before a "system outage" was restored. Investors are paying the most since July 2024 to protect against turbulence in Indian shares, with hedging costs surging bloomberg.com for India's stock market. Options show traders aren't ready to prune back bearish bets against the lira, with the cost of hedging lira hitting an 8-month high bloomberg.com, even as Trump signaled the Iran war could end soon. The FTSE 100 poised to rise bloomberg.com as oil prices cooled.

Corporate & Sector Developments

Volkswagen focused on cost cuts wsj.com, expecting revenue to land between flat and 3% above last year’s figure, while the operating margin is anticipated between 4% and 5.5%. Hugo Boss expected lower sales and earnings wsj.com in the next stage of its transformation plan, targeting a return to growth from 2026. Saudi Aramco raised its quarterly dividend wsj.com and announced a $3 billion share buyback despite weaker oil prices. Renault looked to cut Europe sales reliance ft.com as the China battle heated up, targeting a push in India and other emerging markets. South Africa targeted infrastructure deals bloomberg.com with a new credit-guarantee vehicle, aiming to support billions in projects from power-grid expansion to ports.