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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Market Volatility

JPMorgan bloomberg.com warns the S&P 500 could fall 10% as war risks build up. Traders bloomberg.com are betting the ECB will hike rates twice as Middle East conflict ignites inflation fears. Netflix bloomberg.com shares are staging a dramatic reversal after walking away from the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.

Energy & Geopolitics

France says the G-7 is "not there yet" on releasing oil stockpiles in response to the Iran war. EU's Dombrovskis bloomberg.com says releasing oil reserves is an option as crude smashes through $100 a barrel. Russia's bloomberg.com key Black Sea port resumed oil loading over the weekend, bringing some relief to global markets. Macron bloomberg.com plans Hormuz ship escorts once conflict calms down.

Corporate Moves

Bank of America bloomberg.com launched a $2.75 billion leveraged loan to fund Nexstar's pending acquisition of Tegna. Microsoft ft.com is adding Anthropic AI models to its Copilot workplace tools. Volkswagen bloomberg.com is pushing into energy storage as EV battery demand falls short of expectations. Simon & Schuster wsj.com named former Amazon executive Greg Greeley as CEO.

Industry Developments

VW ft.com faces an existential threat from Chinese rivals as profit rebound doubts grow. Nvidia ft.com and ABB launched a partnership for AI-enabled autonomous robots. Jefferies ft.com claims Western Alliance made 'false' statements over First Brands. Live Nation wsj.com reached a settlement with the DOJ in its antitrust case.

Regional Updates

Wall Street banks bloomberg.com are offering UAE staff the option to temporarily relocate as attacks continue. Kenya's bloomberg.com capital was worst affected as floods killed at least 37 people. Sturm Ruger wsj.com accused Beretta of attempting to gain control of the company after Beretta acquired a nearly 10% stake.