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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Oil Markets

Oil prices investing.com spiked toward $80/bbl as Middle East tensions escalated, with analysts warning of further gains if the conflict intensifies. Dozens of oil tankers bloomberg.com are gathering in the Persian Gulf as the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, disrupting regional logistics and slowing exports. Saudi Aramco bloomberg.com halted operations at its Ras Tanura refinery after a drone strike, adding to supply concerns.

Currency & Fixed Income

The dollar strengthened bloomberg.com versus all major peers as rising oil prices dampened bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. The pound dropped bloomberg.com alongside European stocks as investors sought haven assets amid Middle East turmoil. Swiss National Bank investing.com posted a CHF26 billion profit for FY25, with gold gains offsetting dollar weakness.

Commodities & Resources

European natural gas bloomberg.com surged 25% as Iran crisis threatens global energy flows. Rare-earth supply bloomberg.com is falling short of rising EV and defense demand, creating shortages and strengthening China's pricing power. Cameco Corp bloomberg.com. signed a $1.9 billion uranium supply deal with India during Prime Minister Carney's first official visit.

Equity Markets

Turkish stocks bloomberg.com fell more than 5% on market open as Iran conflict stirs regional markets. Asian defense stocks investing.com rose as US-Iran conflict stokes geopolitical tensions. BYD's February sales ft.com fell by the most since the pandemic, marking a striking change from years of uninterrupted growth in the Chinese EV market.

Shipping & Logistics

Container shipping companies wsj.com diverted vessels around Africa's southern tip, avoiding the Suez Canal and Strait of Hormuz after military strikes on Iran. India carriers bloomberg.com are emerging as hardest hit outside the Middle East, with widespread cancellations and diversions as regional airspace closes.

Real Estate & Infrastructure

UK house prices investing.com rose 0.3% in February as market recovery continues. Vodafone finance.yahoo.com partnered with Amazon's satellites to connect mobile masts across Europe and Africa. Key Congo copper-export route bloomberg.com was cut off after bridge collapse, disrupting shipments from the world's second-largest producer.

Corporate & M&A

Toyota ft.com bowed to activist pressure in a $38 billion deal to privatize its largest subsidiary after Elliott's campaign. Berkshire Hathaway's new chief ft.com remains committed to dealmaking, according to Financial Times. Bavarian Nordic CEO investing.com Paul Chaplin will step down after 27 years at the helm.

Economic Outlook

Singapore bloomberg.com said it may relook GDP outlook on Iran crisis and oil price impact. Middle East escalation bloomberg.com risks new inflation spike, with Commercial Bank of Dubai's Deepak Mehra warning of enduring price pressures if conflict prolongs. War of attrition bloomberg.com is starting, with Iran hoping to make US allies pay heavily for US-Israel strikes.