As recently as mid-July, Gianni Infantino was considered a shoo-in for a fourth term as Fifa president, but his now-abandoned plan to sell World Cup stakes has sparked division. BBC Sport mapped the views of all 210 voting members, showing 73 in support, 124 in opposition, and 13 undecided—a fluid picture likely to change.

Backlash intensified when Uefa, Concacaf, and the Asian Football Confederation (AFC) signed a joint letter accusing Infantino of breaking trust. These bodies represent 136 associations, but dissent exists, e.g., Bhutan, Philippines, UAE backing Infantino in Asia, and Mexico breaking ranks in Concacaf. Africa and South America remain staunch allies, while Oceania is yet to comment.

A unity candidate could force a direct battle; a simple majority of 106 votes would be needed. Potential challengers include Concacaf president Victor Montagliani. The deadline for candidacy is November, and the map could shift based on who stands. For now, Infantino's path to re-election is uncertain.