Arsenal hold a seven-goal lead over Manchester City in the Premier League title race, giving them a 97.42% chance of winning the crown, according to Opta calculations. The Gunners can clinch the title with two games to spare if they win all remaining fixtures, including beating City at the Etihad on April 19th, and City drops points before Arsenal's trip to West Ham on May 9th. However, if City wins all their games and Arsenal falters, the title could go down to the final day. Seven ahead in goal difference is the critical factor, making Arsenal favorites despite City's game in hand. The Etihad showdown on April 19th is the pivotal fixture that could decide the title early or force a final-day climax.