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Costco Hot Dog Price Up: Bun Shrinks 45%

Hacker News •
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Costco's iconic $1.50 hot dog has remained unchanged since 1984, but a three-year comparison reveals the serving size has shrunk significantly. The author used photogrammetry to measure the buns, finding the 2026 version lost 45% volume compared to 2023. The sausage remained 8 inches, but the bun volume dropped from 29.5 to 16.1 cubic inches.

This represents a 37% reduction in total serving volume, with the cost per cubic inch rising 60% nominally (47% after inflation adjustment). Buns likely shrunk to offset rising ground beef costs—beef prices increased 36% from $5.08 to $6.89 per pound.

Meanwhile, bread prices fell 8% from $1.97 to $1.82 per pound. In real terms, the $1.50 hot dog would cost $2.40 today, representing an effective price increase of 77 cents—a classic case of shrinkflation. While customers saved 13 cents versus inflation, they received far less product for their money.