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$2.5T Wiped from US Stocks as AI Capex Diverges

Hacker News •
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The Nasdaq lost roughly $2.5 trillion in market capitalization on Thursday, pushing the index into correction territory. While major AI spenders like GOOGL, MSFT, and AMZN fell modestly, their hardware suppliers suffered steep declines: AMD dropped 14.83%, MU fell 14.18%, DELL lost 12.88%, and GEV plunged 11.88%. This divergence reflects growing concerns over hyperscaler cash flow, with Alphabet reporting -$9.1B in quarterly free cash flow and Amazon’s trailing FCF at -$42.4B despite guiding $220B in annual capex.

Midterm election results in Texas, Georgia, and Ohio—where Democrats gained governor seats and Congress—have introduced permitting friction for new data centers. These states host a major share of near-term gigawatt capacity, and candidates ran on pausing approvals due to spiking residential electricity rates. Without permits, buyers delay hardware orders from NVDA, AVGO, LRCX, and AMAT.

Simultaneously, consumer semiconductor demand is weakening: QCOM fell 12.65% as handset chip sales dropped 26%, coinciding with a 20% decline in global smartphone shipments to a 14-year low. Micron and SK Hynix shifted wafer capacity to HBM for AI servers, driving up DRAM/NAND prices and forcing phone OEMs to raise retail prices. Consumers are not paying premiums for “AI phones,” causing unit volumes to collapse.

With buyers showing negative free cash flow and local grids blocking new power hookups, hardware vendors are absorbing the impact first.

Source: Hacker News · Summarized by HeadlinesBriefing