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02011-02022: 11-Year Web Prediction (www.longbets.org/601)

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This bet on the date 02011-02022 (11 years from the original URL) was created by Keith and Haughey. Keith argued that 'cool URIs don't change,' citing Tim Berners-Lee in 1999, and warned that link rot is the entropy of the web. He suspected that even a short period like eleven years is too long for a resource to survive.

Haughey countered that technology has matured, allowing anyone with moderate knowledge to keep a site running via stable URIs and 301 redirects. The stake is $1,000, with the prize going to the Bletchly Park Trust if Keith wins, or The Internet Archive if Haughey wins. The rules state that on February 22nd, 2022, entering the URL must return an HTML document containing the prediction text.