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2 articles summarized · Last updated: Latest

Last updated: October 18, 2026, 8:00 PM ET

Probability & Statistics

A new Bayesian analysis of the Monty Hall problem argues that the famous advice to "always switch" holds only for a specific host, and that observing a few episodes can reveal how the host actually behaves (Bayesian reasoning on host behavior). A separate piece explains how Simpson's paradox can make two valid charts reach opposite conclusions when their data are combined.