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NFL Week 3 Fantasy Playbook: Shadow Reports & Projections

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Welcome to The Playbook for Week 3, which kicks off Thursday night with a game between the Falcons and Packers. This column features score projections, over/unders, win probabilities, and easily digestible fantasy advice for seasonlong leagues and DFS. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.

Using our play-by-play data, we're able to identify defensive schemes and where each wide receiver and cornerback lines up on each play. By tracking these WR/CB matchups, including potential shadow situations, we can offer the best fantasy guidance each week. All of this advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings.

Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers: Projected score: Packers 28, Falcons 19. Lineup locks: Bijan Robinson, Drake London, Christian Watson. Fantasy scoop: Tucker Kraft leapt from a 66% snap share in Week 1 to 100% of snaps in Week 2, but his targets and yardage dipped. He remains a fine back-end fantasy TE1.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills: Projected score: Bills 30, Chargers 24. Lineup locks: Josh Allen, James Cook III, Omarion Hampton, Ladd McConkey, DJ Moore, Dalton Kincaid. Fantasy scoop: Justin Herbert has been limited to 401 yards, two passing TDs and three INTs through two games, and hasn't finished top 10 in fantasy PPG since 2021.