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MLB Trade Deadline Winners and Losers, One Month Later

ESPN MLB •
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Today marks the one-month anniversary of a frenetic 2026 MLB trade deadline. What, if anything, has changed since then? At the time, we did a lot of quick-turn analysis and rating of each move, but none of that was meant to be the final word. In reality, it will take years to fully untangle many of the moves made last month. One month later, we still can't make any final proclamations because the samples are just too small.

What we can do is take a fresh look at all that movement by asking a simple question about every team: How has it worked out so far? We'll keep our focus on the postseason races and not so much the prospects who changed teams. To sift through the deadline fallout, I developed a rating to sort the teams based on how their fortunes evolved and how their deadline acquisitions have performed.

Tier 1: Contenders whose deadline pickups have helped and whose playoff odds have improved. The Braves' deadline would stand out if the only move made by Alex Anthopoulos was to acquire starter Tyler Mahle from the Giants. Mahle has posted a 1.48 ERA over five starts and rolled up 1.4 b WAR in his first month as a Brave. Meanwhile, high-energy lefty Brent Suter has been a strong addition to the bullpen. Lane Thomas, the primary addition to the lineup, has struggled, but Mahle has thus far been the best pickup of the deadline.

The Toronto Blue Jays were on the fence at the deadline, trading Daulton Varsho and Kevin Gausman, but Gausman was immediately replaced by ex-Angel Jose Soriano. Former Cubs prospect Brett Bateman has played well as an on-base speed guy and impact defender. The Blue Jays have won just enough to remain on the fringe of the American League wild-card cluster. The Tampa Bay Rays were winning an average of 94 games in the sims at the deadline; that number has since reached 96.1, the sixth-biggest uptick in the majors.