---
title: 民调：特朗普拖累共和党 民主党中期选举...
description: 《纽约时报》/锡耶纳大学新民调显示，距离中期选举不到50天，民主党对共和党优势明显，特朗普在经济议题上失去公...
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---

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### 民调：特朗普拖累共和党 民主党中期选举优势扩大

New York Times Top Stories • September 15, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

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距离中期选举不到50天，据《纽约时报》/锡耶纳大学一项新民调显示，由于特朗普总统在经济议题上失去公众信任，民主党对共和党拥有明显优势。在国会选区中，可能投票的选民对民主党候选人的支持率领先近**9个百分点**。

在可能投票的选民中，特朗普的支持率维持在**38%**。多数选民不认可他在所有主要议题上的处理方式：经济、移民、关税、伊朗战争，尤其是生活成本。选民在医疗保健、对外战争以及推动特朗普2024年获胜的两大议题——移民和经济——上更信任民主党。

独立选民对特朗普已经失望：只有**10%**表示经济比一年前更好，仅有**27%**认可他的工作表现。在国会选举中，**57%**的独立选民计划投票给民主党，而**34%**计划投票给共和党。即便在没有大学学位的白人选民中，也有21个百分点的差距不认可他对生活成本的处理。

然而，民主党浪潮并非板上钉钉。杰利蝾螈限制了竞争性众议院席位，9个百分点的优势可能不足以翻转德克萨斯州、俄亥俄州、阿拉斯加州和爱荷华州的参议院席位——特朗普在2024年以两位数优势赢得了这些州。

关键实体：公司：《纽约时报》、锡耶纳大学 | 人物：特朗普 | 地点：德克萨斯州、俄亥俄州、阿拉斯加州、爱荷华州、伊朗

FAQ：《纽约时报》/锡耶纳民调对中期选举显示了什么？

该民调显示，在可能投票的选民中，民主党领先共和党近9个百分点，特朗普支持率为38%，独立选民以57%对34%支持民主党。

FAQ Q：《纽约时报》/锡耶纳民调对中期选举显示了什么？

FAQ A：该民调显示，在可能投票的选民中，民主党领先共和党近9个百分点，特朗普支持率为38%，独立选民以57%对34%支持民主党。

[Read original article](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/15/us/politics/trump-midterm-election-poll.html)

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