Tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, offers his analysis and betting insight for a busy weekend of Premier League action, starting with Everton vs Chelsea on Saturday at 12.30pm. Set pieces could decide this game, and the numbers suggest Chelsea are vulnerable. They have already conceded seven goals from set pieces this season, more than any other Premier League side, and have conceded at a rate of 0.53 per 90 minutes since the start of last season, the highest of any Premier League team over that period.
Jones Knows fancies James Tarkowski to score in the goalscorer market. The Everton defender leads the club's defenders for touches in the opposition box and shots at attacking set pieces, and has scored three times across his last 15 games. At 14/1 with Sky Bet, Jones Knows' score prediction is 2-2.
Attention then turns to Brentford vs Liverpool on Saturday at 3pm. Andoni Iraola has a poor record against Brentford, going seven meetings without a win and losing five of them. Brentford's direct approach has repeatedly caused problems for his footballing philosophy. Liverpool have scored just six non-penalty Premier League goals, the sixth-fewest in the division, and have created only nine Opta-defined big chances, the joint-lowest total alongside Aston Villa and Coventry.
Jones Knows backs Brentford on the double chance alongside under 3.5 goals at 11/10 with Sky Bet, with a predicted score of 2-1.
Source: Sky Sports Champions League · Summarized by HeadlinesBriefing