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Spain and France dominate World Cup betting odds as US backs home team

ESPN Soccer •
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Betting markets have anointed Spain as the outright favorite for the 2026 World Cup, listing at +450 on DraftKings. France trails closely, with odds between +450 and +500 across sportsbooks. The consensus reflects strong recent form and deep squads, positioning the two European powers as the teams bookmakers expect to dominate the tournament.

BetMGM data shows more than 30% of all World Cup winner wagers and nearly half of the betting handle backing Spain or France. Caesars' Mark Bickerdike notes a sharp drop to the next tier—England at +700, Argentina and Brazil near +950—highlighting the market’s concentration on the Iberian duo. Portugal edges into the top three money‑backed spots, now priced around +800.

Despite long odds, the United States ranks eighth in betting volume, driven by home‑field enthusiasm and the tournament’s North American venues. Haiti remains the longest shot at 2,500-1, yet a single BetMGM bettor has already staked $1,000, exposing books to a potential $2.5 million significant loss if the Caribbean side pulls an upset.