ESPN's Bill Connelly has backed England to win this summer's World Cup for six months, making them his No. 1 pick despite being the No. 3 betting favorite. The squad depth is remarkable - players from Arsenal, Real Madrid, and Premier League champions missed the cut entirely. Twenty-five of 26 roster members played for clubs in the world's top 30 last season.

Manager Thomas Tuchel opted for functional talent over creativity, which showed in group stage performances against Ghana and Panama. England struggled to break down defensive blocks, managing just one shot worth more than 0.2 xG against Ghana despite dominating possession. The injury crisis at right back adds concern with Tino Livramento (calf), Reece James (hamstring), and Jarell Quansah (ankle) all unavailable.

However, England's Premier League advantage gives them unmatched club-level testing. They lead the tournament in set-piece shots (18) and rank third in expected goals from dead balls (2.5). When matches open up, they excel - Croatia felt a 4-2 defeat while Panama succumbed 2-0. The knockout rounds favor teams comfortable in transition play.

Facing Congo DR in the round of 32 presents another defensive test. While England learned little from the Ghana matchup, advancing opponents Mexico and Ecuador will provide more open, possession-based challenges. The Three Lions remain favorites because their talent has been battle-tested against world-class opposition weekly.