The Edmonton Oilers' projected playoff path this season indicates they hold the second-best chances among Western Conference teams to reach the conference finals (37.3%), the Stanley Cup Final (18.6%), and win the Cup (9.2%), though these figures trail Colorado's projections. Stathletes' analysis highlights a potential first-round matchup against the Vegas Golden Knights as the fifth-most-likely series, with the Oilers currently holding a 2-0 edge in their two remaining games. Their record against other potential opponents, including the Anaheim Ducks (1-1) and wild-card Utah Mammoth (1-0), is also favorable.

However, the Oilers' recent struggles against top Western teams like Colorado (9-1 loss in November) and Dallas (all three losses this season) loom large as potential obstacles should they advance. The Oilers' playoff experience offers hope, but their ability to overcome these specific rivals remains a critical question heading into the final stretch.