The Washington Capitals face a critical test Wednesday when they visit the Toronto Maple Leafs with their playoff hopes hanging by a thread. Five points behind Ottawa for the second wild-card spot, Washington needs victories and help from other teams to secure postseason play in a crowded race.

Alex Ovechkin has added 31 goals to his ledger this season, but the team's situation bears little resemblance to their dominant form a year ago when they finished with the best record in the Eastern Conference. The Caps trail Philadelphia by five points for third in the Metro Division with multiple teams in between.

According to Stathletes projections, Washington has just a 4.0% chance of making the playoffs after Tuesday's action. Their final six games include matchups against Toronto, Pittsburgh twice, and Columbus. The Caps will battle to the bitter end despite long odds, knowing every remaining contest could determine their postseason fate.