Seattle aims to make Kansas City earn every yard on Sunday, with their defense capable of stopping the run without selling out, creating a tougher night for Kenneth Walker III. Walker's involvement as a receiver is advised, as Seattle has been more vulnerable to backs catching passes. The bigger issue for Seattle is its offense, as the running game isn't giving Sam Darnold much help.
Kansas City can disguise coverage while bringing pressure, a situation where Darnold completes only 38% of his passes. Jaxon Smith-Njigba will get his catches, and Seattle needs those to move the chains. Patrick Mahomes is trusted to manage ugly possessions and avoid mistakes.
This feels like a defensive fight, with Kansas City better equipped to win the close fourth quarter. Kansas City leads the league in yards per play and outgains opponents by 108 yards per game, the biggest gap in the league. The difference could come near the goal line, where Kansas City has allowed touchdowns on only four of 12 red zone trips.
Seattle has led at halftime just once this season. Kansas City can put them in another game they have to chase. Bet: UNDER 42.5 total points.
Kansas City has attempted more than 30 passes only once this season, with an improved rushing game letting Andy Reid stay patient. Seattle makes opponents complete short throws, burning valuable game time. Notable player props include Kenneth Walker III rushing yards UNDER 85.5 (-113).
The line moved to 80.5 since this was written.
Source: ESPN NFL · Summarized by HeadlinesBriefing