The UFC's return to Abu Dhabi features Magomed Ankalaev in a key light heavyweight bout. Ankalaev, a former champion, is one of three ex-titleholders competing in recent UFC headliners. ESPN has projected the chances of eight former champions returning to title contention.

Magaomed Ankalaev has an 88% chance, despite marketability concerns and a recent KO loss, due to a weak division. Middleweight Dricus du Plessis (85%) has a favorable history with potential opponents. Kamaru Usman (25%), at 39, faces an uphill battle due to age, needing significant wins and luck. Alex Pereira (75%) benefits from the heavyweight division favoring older fighters and a recent new deal.

Charles Oliveira has a 50% chance, with his next fight being crucial in a stacked lightweight division. Sean O'Malley (89%) has strong odds but faces tough competition in bantamweight. Jack Della Maddalena (71%), the youngest on the list at 29, still possesses KO power. Zhang Weili has the highest odds at 93%, with retirement being her main obstacle, as she remains a top contender in strawweight.