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ESPN Experts Split on Wimbledon Winners as Sinner Defends Against Open Field

ESPN General •
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Wimbledon begins Monday with defending champions Jannik Sinner and Iga Swiatek headlining a field missing Carlos Alcaraz due to injury. The Italian seeks to become the first man to repeat since 2019, while Swiatek faces questions about her grass-court form after early exits in tuneup events.

On the women's side, Aryna Sabalenka emerges as the consensus pick despite recent setbacks. She hired Max Mirnyi to improve her net play, and experts believe these adjustments will pay dividends on grass. However, Iga Swiatek's draw appears manageable, and American contenders like Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys could capitalize on the open field.

For the men, Sinner remains the favorite even after his shocking French Open exit. With Alcaraz sidelined, his path to the second week looks smoother. Novak Djokovic (+600) still lurks as a threat in the same half, while Ben Shelton's Stuttgart title makes him a dark horse. Experts question whether Sinner has fully recovered from the mental and physical toll of Paris.

Betting markets reflect the uncertainty, with Sabalenka a vulnerable 4-1 favorite on the women's side. The wide-open nature gives value to props like 'Any American woman' (+240), as Wimbledon has produced unique champions in each of the last nine editions.