HeadlinesBriefing favicon HeadlinesBriefing.com

Yen Hits 40-Year Low as Global Funds Maintain Positions Amid Carry Trade Surge

Wall Street Journal Markets •
×

The Japanese yen slid to 162.83 against the dollar on Wednesday, marking its weakest level in four decades. Despite this dramatic depreciation, global fund managers are holding steady with their yen positions rather than rushing to exit. Eastspring Investments, which oversees roughly $269 billion in assets, has maintained an underweight yen bias since early this year.

Safe-haven demand for the dollar, fueled by Middle East tensions and the U.S.'s insulation from oil-price volatility, has pressured the yen lower. While the U.S.-Iran ceasefire eased some geopolitical concerns, the Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot has reinforced the interest rate differential favoring dollar investments. Japan's subdued rate environment makes the currency cheap to borrow, driving carry trade activity.

Speculation swirls that Japanese authorities may intervene again, though doubts persist about effectiveness. The yen has already pierced the 160 level that triggered April-May intervention efforts. Amova Asset Management's chief global strategist Naomi Fink noted investors are actively piling into the trade as yen borrowing costs remain attractive.

With markets pricing in Fed rate hikes and gradual BOJ tightening, the carry trade dynamic appears firmly entrenched. Fund managers are using yen rallies to rebuild short exposure rather than abandoning positions entirely, suggesting this weakening trend has further room to run.