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Strategy's Bitcoin Bet Backfires as Shares Plunge 80% from Peak

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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Michael Saylor's Strategy is scrambling to restore investor confidence after its bitcoin-focused transformation went sideways. The company announced a $1 billion preferred share buyback and up to $1 billion in common stock repurchases, while also planning to sell bitcoin worth $1.25 billion to fund operations and dividends. This dramatic reversal comes as crypto markets have cratered over recent months, leaving Strategy's once-soaring valuation in tatters.

The company's common shares have dropped more than 80% from their November 2024 peak, with its popular preferred stock hitting record lows at 25% below par value. Strategy's cash reserves now sit at $2.55 billion as of June 28, though this buffer may prove insufficient given the scale of losses. The firm rebranded itself as a bitcoin treasury vehicle, attracting billions when cryptocurrency prices climbed, spawning numerous imitators across the market.

However, the sustained crypto downturn has created a vicious cycle for Strategy and similar companies. Its NAV - enterprise value relative to bitcoin holdings - fell below one, meaning investors value the company less than its underlying digital assets. This discount effectively prevents Strategy from issuing new shares to purchase additional bitcoin without severely diluting existing shareholders.

Strategy's predicament illustrates the risks of corporate strategies built entirely around volatile cryptocurrencies, where market sentiment can evaporate quickly and leave companies with impaired balance sheets and broken business models.