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Natural Gas Futures Stall Near $2.68 as Mild Weather Persists

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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U.S. natural‑gas futures kept a narrow swing on the NYMEX Thursday morning, hovering around $2.68 per million British thermal units. Traders cited the lingering mild weather that extended through the winter shoulder and into April, leaving inventories comfortably stocked. The limited price movement reflects a market without the pressure of seasonal spikes. Utilities buying forward for the summer reported lower hedge costs, easing profit pressure.

Bank of America Global Research analysts Clifton White and Francisco Blanch trimmed their year‑end Henry Hub outlook by 20 cents, now projecting an average of $3.40/mmBtu. Their note argued that the current inventory surplus and abundant mid‑stream capacity through the summer should blunt any sharp price rallies, even if occasional cold snaps disturb the balance. Midstream operators, flush with spare pipelines, expect fee income despite price environment.

With futures down 0.3% at $2.68 per mmBtu, the market signals little urgency for producers or utilities to adjust contracts. Investors watching the commodity will likely focus on the upcoming heating season, but the prevailing surplus and flexible infrastructure suggest price volatility will stay muted unless an abrupt weather swing occurs. Large energy funds have trimmed exposure, favoring coal and renewables as gas margins narrow.