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Eurozone Bund Yields Slip as Oil Prices Fall, UK Gilts Pressed by Politics

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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Eurozone sovereign yields nudged lower Tuesday, tracking a drop in U.S. Treasury rates after oil prices retreated. Europe’s status as a net oil importer makes energy costs a primary driver for bond markets, and the renewed supply strain from the Strait of Hormuz kept the focus on crude. The 10‑year Bund slipped 0.7 basis points to 3.09%, according to Tradeweb data.

Commerzbank rates strategist Erik Liem warned that room for further Bund weakness is narrowing. Earlier, higher gilt and Treasury yields—spurred by U.K. political turbulence and stubborn U.S. core inflation—had pushed European rates higher. With energy prices now receding, market attention is shifting back to the oil‑driven risk premium that underpins eurozone debt pricing.

Across the Channel, U.K. gilt yields surged amid calls for Prime Minister Keir Starmer to resign and fears that fiscal looseness could stoke inflation. Michael Brown of Pepperstone highlighted the link between political uncertainty and rising borrowing costs. The 30‑year U.K. gilt touched a 28‑year high of 5.81%, prompting investors to reassess risk premia on British debt.

Investors will weigh the divergent forces—energy price swings in the euro area and political strain in Britain—when positioning portfolios. As oil retreats and political headlines dominate, bond traders are already calibrating exposure, leaving little ambiguity about the immediate direction of European sovereign spreads.