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Asian FX Slides as Mideast Risk Drives Dollar Haven Bid

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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Asian currencies weakened broadly against the dollar in early trading Monday as renewed Middle East tensions triggered a classic risk-off rotation. The Korean won, Taiwan dollar, and Thai baht led declines, each dropping 0.3% to 0.5% versus the greenback as investors shed regional assets for perceived safety.

The move reflects a familiar dynamic: geopolitical flare-ups boost haven demand for the dollar and U.S. Treasuries, tightening financial conditions across export-dependent Asian economies. Higher import costs for energy and raw materials compound inflation pressures, limiting central bank easing room just as growth momentum shows signs of fading.

Traders are monitoring whether authorities in Seoul, Taipei, or Bangkok step in to smooth volatility. Korea's foreign-exchange authorities have signaled readiness to act if disorderly moves persist, while Thailand's central bank recently flagged currency stability as a policy priority. Intervention risk caps downside but cannot reverse the fundamental driver.

For portfolio managers, the episode underscores Asia's vulnerability to external shocks despite improved current-account positions. Positioning remains long regional FX on carry appeal, leaving crowded trades exposed to further escalation. The next directional cue likely comes from oil-price trajectory and any coordinated central-bank messaging.