National Weather Service forecasts severe storms Thursday afternoon across the Midwest, with the highest risk in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. Gusts up to 80 miles per hour, hail larger than 2 inches, and isolated tornadoes are possible as a storm system moves eastward. Forecasters warn of flash flood risks from Illinois to Pennsylvania, urging immediate preparedness.

The Storm Prediction Center emphasizes that conditions will peak Thursday evening, with storms gradually weakening overnight. Meteorologist Liz Leitman noted the Midwest’s vulnerability stems from a persistent atmospheric instability pattern. While the immediate threat diminishes by midnight, the Weather Prediction Center highlights a marginal flash flood risk in central Illinois through southern New York.

Climate scientists remain divided on tornado frequency trends, though recent research suggests Tornado Alley is shifting eastward. This follows deadly outbreaks this month, including tornadoes in Union City, Mich., and Biggs, Okla. Despite links between climate change and extreme weather, no conclusive evidence ties it to tornado patterns. Experts stress preparedness remains critical as spring storm season intensifies.

Residents are advised to assemble disaster kits, identify shelter locations, and monitor real-time alerts. Authorities in affected states have activated emergency response teams. The National Weather Service urges avoiding flooded roads and staying indoors during tornado warnings. This volatile system underscores the region’s recurring exposure to springtime meteorological threats.