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German Industry Faces New Energy Crisis Threat Amid Iran War

New York Times Business •
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Surging Energy Costs are putting German industry in grave danger, four years after the initial shock from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, as the ongoing conflict in Iran adds another layer of economic strain. This renewed pressure threatens the fragile recovery of European factories, particularly in energy-intensive sectors like chemicals and metals manufacturing. The Russian invasion initially caused prices to skyrocket, forcing factories to cut production and leading to factory closures; the Iran war now risks repeating this cycle, potentially derailing efforts to restore industrial output and competitiveness.

Germany's energy-intensive industries, which form a crucial part of its export economy, are facing a double whammy. The Iran war has disrupted global oil supplies, pushing prices higher again, while the legacy of the Russian invasion means Germany remains heavily reliant on imported gas. This combination forces factories to either absorb crippling costs or pass them on, making German exports less competitive globally and potentially leading to further factory shutdowns. The situation underscores the vulnerability of Europe's industrial base to geopolitical instability in key energy regions.

The German government and industry groups are scrambling to find solutions, but the Iran war creates a new, unpredictable variable. While previous support measures helped during the first crisis, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Iran war introduces fresh challenges for energy security and cost management, making a full industrial revival increasingly difficult. The European factories that are central to Germany's economic identity now face an existential threat from these converging energy crises.