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XFT Index Outperformance: Boring Stocks Lead Market

Financial Times Markets •
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Investors seeking market outperformance should consider the XFT index, which tracks FTSE 100 companies least mentioned in headline news. Over three years, the index has beaten the FTSE 100 benchmark, even without dividends. Fresnillo, a Mexican miner, surged due to precious metals demand. Lion Finance, a Georgian bank rebranded from Bank of Georgia, thrived in emerging markets. Airtel Africa, controlled by India’s Mittal family, consolidated mobile operations across Africa. These London-listed firms highlight the XFT’s focus on global growth stories overlooked by mainstream media.

The index’s logic stems from the "if it bleeds it leads" media principle: companies generating headlines underperform, while quiet performers thrive. However, survivorship bias complicates replication: the XFT excludes firms that later face crises. RELX, once a XFT member, exited after becoming an AI SaaS leader, illustrating shifting market dynamics. About half the index renewed since 2024, emphasizing evolving investor preferences.

While Boring Bunzl (distributor Bunzl) briefly shone in prior tests, its 2023 profit warning and scrapped buyback program kept it outside the current XFT. This underscores the index’s fluid nature — dullness alone doesn’t guarantee returns. Investors must balance overlooked opportunities with risks of sudden market shifts.

Key takeaway: The XFT’s consistent outperformance challenges conventional wisdom, proving that low-profile companies can deliver superior returns. Yet, its reliance on past underperformance data means future results remain uncertain.