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Venezuela to launch $240bn debt overhaul, the biggest sovereign restructuring

Financial Times Markets •
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Venezuela is preparing to unveil a $240 bn debt portfolio that will trigger the largest sovereign debt restructuring in history. The move follows years of hyperinflation, sanctions and default on external bonds, leaving investors with scant recourse. Creditors anticipate a complex exchange of existing notes for new instruments, a process that could reshape exposure to Latin American sovereign risk and could influence global credit ratings for emerging markets.

Wall Street felt the ripple as chip equities led a broad sell‑off, reflecting worries that higher U.S. rates could tighten financing for emerging markets like Venezuela. Nvidia’s AI chips, meanwhile, fetched double their usual price on China’s black market, underscoring demand pressures amid tightening export controls. The combined volatility highlights how sovereign distress can amplify sector‑specific risk as investors reassess risk premiums across tech and commodities.

Investors will watch the restructuring timeline closely, as the outcome determines recovery rates for bondholders and sets a benchmark for future crises in the region. Legal disputes over jurisdiction and the treatment of U.S.-sanctioned holders could prolong negotiations, meaning market participants must brace for prolonged uncertainty rather than a quick resolution. The precedent may also affect how multilateral lenders structure future aid packages.