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ECB hikes rate amid Iran war; SpaceX IPO fuels market buzz

Financial Times Markets •
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The European Central Bank lifted its policy rate to 2.25% on Tuesday, marking the first hike in three years. The move follows rising inflation expectations linked to the ongoing Iran war and signals a shift from the earlier “insurance hike” narrative. Market watchers view the decision as a pre‑emptive curb on price pressure.

Across markets, the ECB’s action contrasts with the U.S. Federal Reserve, which has left rates unchanged for more than a year. Analysts project one to two further increases before year‑end, as the eurozone’s inflation forecast climbed to 3 %. The central bank’s stance reflects lessons from the 2011 rate swings that forced a swift reversal.

Meanwhile, SpaceX is set to go public in a weekend IPO that has already attracted orders three times the available shares. Founder Elon Musk plans to allocate 20‑30% of the offering to retail investors, banking on a fervent fan base. The debut may also trigger passive fund exposure as index rules accelerate inclusion.

The ECB’s rate rise, coupled with SpaceX’s IPO surge, underscores a tightening financial environment. Investors now face higher borrowing costs amid geopolitical tension, while private equity flows may shift toward high‑growth tech. Market participants will monitor whether the central bank’s policy will be followed by the Fed and Bank of England in the coming weeks.