HeadlinesBriefing favicon HeadlinesBriefing.com

Dollar System Shifts to Profit Dollar Era

Financial Times Markets •
×

The dollar system has undergone repeated reinvention since World War II, moving from the gold-backed Bretton Woods framework to the fiat era after Nixon's 1971 gold window closure. The Bretton Woods 2.0 phase emerged organically in the late 1990s as emerging markets, led by China, accumulated massive dollar reserves as self-insurance against financial crises. This configuration granted the US an exorbitant privilege: stable official funding for its twin deficits on current account and government budgets.

By the mid-2010s, that model had already fractured. China's reserve accumulation tapered around 2015, and Beijing imposed capital controls trapping an estimated $50-60tn in domestic bank accounts. Yet America's deficits persisted, now financed not by official reserves but by private foreign investors — primarily from Europe, South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan — chasing returns in US financial markets. The dollar's draw is no longer safety but yield, fueled by America's K-shaped economy and outsized capital accumulation.

This latest iteration, which the author dubs the profit dollar, functions as a promise of liquidity and a vehicle for unfettered wealth creation rather than a store of value. With fiscal incontinence no longer penalized by markets, the reserve currency framework — with its connotations of probity and vaulted gold — has become an anachronism. The system now reflects the class relations underpinning it: a dollar engineered for billionaire and trillionaire capital formation, not sovereign stability.