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Chinese Bonds Defy Global Sell-Off as Investors Flee to Safety

Financial Times Markets •
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Chinese government bonds have defied global market trends amid the Iran war, with yields on the 10-year bond falling to 1.81% since late February. This contrasts sharply with rising yields in Western markets, where US Treasuries climbed 0.38 percentage points to 4.34% while UK gilts surged 0.7 percentage points. Investors view China as insulated from energy shocks due to its strategic reserves and discounted Russian energy, unlike neighbors South Korea and Japan.

SpaceX has kicked off what could be the largest IPO in history, with reports indicating plans to raise $75 billion at a valuation around $1.75 trillion. Meanwhile, global M&A activity reached $1.2 trillion in the first quarter, with 22 megadeals exceeding $10 billion each, showing companies remain aggressive despite geopolitical tensions. Intel is also making a major move by paying over $14 billion to regain full ownership of its Irish semiconductor facility, just two years after selling a stake to shore up finances.

The divergence in monetary policy between China and Western central banks reflects different economic trajectories. While major economies grapple with inflation triggered by energy prices, China's low pre-war inflation and energy advantages position it for potential policy easing, creating a stark contrast in investment strategies. The People's Bank of China remains in a unique position compared to other global central banks, according to analysts at Barclays.