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BHP’s Copper Surpasses Iron Ore Profits

Financial Times Markets •
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BHP, the world’s largest mining company, reported 48% rise in copper profits to $18bn, overtaking iron ore for the first time annually. Copper now contributes 54% of underlying earnings, up 27% YoY, while revenue increased 15% to $58.8bn. The company raised its dividend to $1.72, a 56% hike, marking the highest in four years. CEO Brandon Craig emphasized copper as the "biggest growth opportunity," driven by demand from data centres and energy networks. BHP forecasts annual copper demand rising to 50mn tonnes by 2050 from 34mn tonnes. Revenue from byproducts like gold and uranium also surged 45% to $4.5bn. Despite sector cost pressures, BHP remains optimistic, citing self-funded growth projects with costs 5-to-1 lower than acquisitions. The company supplies 5% of global uranium but views it as a byproduct. Craig noted China’s steel demand, critical for BHP’s growth, remains strong despite economic slowdowns. However, Indian growth may moderate due to high energy costs. BHP’s outlook balances softer domestic markets with robust exports.

Copper’s dominance reflects its role in global infrastructure. Analyst Glyn Lawcock highlighted that copper earnings exceeded expectations, offsetting weaker iron ore and coal performance. BHP’s focus on organic projects underscores long-term efficiency. The CEO dismissed concerns about industrial action in Australia, stressing demand resilience. With copper prices and volumes rising, BHP positions itself to capitalize on energy transition trends.

Challenges persist, including cost inflation and regional economic headwinds. BHP’s strategy prioritizes existing assets over mergers, leveraging copper’s self-sustaining growth. The company’s ability to fund projects organically strengthens its competitive edge. Despite risks, BHP’s diversified commodity portfolio and copper-centric approach appear well-aligned with market demands.

The firm’s performance highlights copper’s strategic importance. While iron ore remains significant, copper’s growth trajectory offers BHP a unique advantage. Craig’s leadership and emphasis on organic expansion signal confidence in the metal’s future. As global infrastructure investments expand, BHP’s copper assets are poised to drive continued profitability.