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UK Housebuilders Face Stagflation Crisis

Financial Times Companies •
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UK housebuilders are reeling from stagflation fears as Berkeley Group announced it would halt land purchases and slow construction after a 10 per cent share price drop. The sector faces multiple pressures including higher energy costs reducing consumer disposable income and confidence. Berkeley Group shares fell sharply following the dour trading update that highlighted the sector's vulnerability.

Rising inflation is driving up borrowing costs for both builders and homebuyers, with average two-year fixed mortgage rates jumping 1 percentage point last month. A typical borrower with a £250,000 mortgage could pay an extra £150 monthly. Persimmon and Barratt Redrow are also struggling, with Persimmon at risk of dropping out of the FTSE 100 while Barratt is the worst performer in the benchmark index year to date.

The weak outlook has pushed many housebuilders below their 10-year average price-to-earnings ratios, though they remain far from their lowest valuations. A new £16bn National Housing Bank launched this week may help with construction financing but won't solve the demand squeeze. Industry analysts suggest an extended help-to-buy scheme could lift sector earnings by over 20 per cent by 2027.