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UK house prices rise despite Iran war‑driven rate hikes

Financial Times Companies •
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Nationwide data shows UK house prices climbed 0.4 % in April, nudging the national average up to £278,880. The rise follows a 0.9 % jump in March and eclipses the 0.3 % decline economists had forecast. Monthly gains sit at 0.4 %, while the annual pace hit 3 %, up from 2.2 %.

Rob Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, attributes the rebound to surprisingly healthy household finances. Household debt sits at its lowest level relative to income in two decades, while savers have built sizable buffers. Mortgage rates have risen since the Iran conflict, with the two‑year fix hovering at 5.79 %, adding roughly £140 a month to a £250,000 loan.

The Bank of England kept its policy rate at 3.75 % but warned that more hikes could follow if the Iran‑driven energy shock persists. Moneyfacts notes lenders have pulled back 827 mortgage products, leaving 6,776 options for buyers. Higher borrowing costs could curb consumption and temper the recent price uptick.

Investors eye the housing sector as a barometer for broader economic resilience. Strong price gains amid rising rates suggest households can still absorb higher mortgage costs, but the looming threat of further rate hikes and shrinking lender supply may tighten the market. The current trajectory, however, signals short‑term stability rather than a prolonged rally.