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Private Capital's Great Disappointment Era Begins

Financial Times Companies •
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The Trump administration's proposed rule to allow private investments in 401(k) retirement accounts marks a pivotal shift, aiming to unlock $10 trillion in untapped funds for private capital. However, this move arrives amidst significant headwinds for the sector. Private equity and private credit funds are grappling with muted returns, soaring debt levels, and a flood of redemptions from wealthy investors, signaling a potential era of disappointment.

The sector's struggles are exacerbated by higher interest rates and geopolitical turmoil, squeezing the financial health of PE-owned companies. Apollo Global Management exemplifies this shift, seeking a second headquarters in Texas or Florida, signaling a potential exodus from New York as it expands its $1 trillion asset base. Emirates secured unusually cheap war-risk insurance for flights to Dubai, paying just $100,000 weekly compared to rivals' $70k-$150k quotes, highlighting the airline's leverage and market power. Meanwhile, Bangladesh's former land minister faces scrutiny over collapsed mortgage provider Market Financial Solutions, which also lent to other financially troubled clients. These developments underscore the sector's vulnerabilities and the shifting landscape for private capital.