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Mortgage costs surge as Middle East conflict fuels higher loan rates

Financial Times Companies •
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Mortgage costs have jumped sharply as the Middle East conflict rattles markets, pushing home‑loan prices higher across North America and Europe. Even though major central banks have left policy rates unchanged, lenders are adding risk premiums, inflating borrowing charges for first‑time buyers and refinancers alike. Banks cite the spike in sovereign spreads across the region as justification for the added markup.

The surge stems from heightened geopolitical risk that has tightened credit markets worldwide. Investors demand higher yields on mortgage‑backed securities, forcing banks to raise spreads despite unchanged headline rates. In the United States, average 30‑year fixed rates have edged up by roughly 0.5 percentage points, while European banks cite similar pressure. In the UK, lenders lifted rates by roughly 30 basis points.

Borrowers now face monthly payments that are several hundred dollars higher, tightening disposable income and slowing housing demand. Real‑estate developers warn of delayed projects as financing costs climb, while equity investors monitor mortgage‑related exposure in portfolios. Analysts predict mortgage‑backed yields could linger near historic highs. The latest data suggest the conflict could keep loan pricing elevated until markets absorb the added uncertainty.