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Meta's valuation puzzle

Financial Times Companies •
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Meta's stock fell 10% despite strong earnings, revealing a fundamental disconnect between financial performance and valuation. Investors remain wary of Mark Zuckerberg's ambitious spending plans and unconventional business priorities that put profit fourth behind quality, scale, and revenue models. The Facebook founder's pursuit of "superintelligence" and products like smart glasses further complicates traditional valuation metrics.

The company reported ad sales growing at 33%, its fastest rate since September 2021. However, Meta's $145 billion AI spending this year and $25 billion bond sale highlight the tension between cyclical ad revenue and non-cyclical costs. This spending approach contrasts with Alphabet's more diversified revenue streams from cloud computing and microchips, which are more closely tied to the AI infrastructure cycle.

Meta trades at a lower P/E multiple than other Magnificent 7 stocks, reflecting investor skepticism about Zuckerberg's long-term vision versus quarterly results. The company's controlling shareholder prioritizes technological advancement over traditional profit maximization, creating persistent valuation uncertainty despite its advertising dominance. Analysts predict revenue growth will fall below 20% by 2028, making current performance levels critical to sustaining investor confidence.