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Europe Limits Energy Aid Amid Fiscal Worries

Financial Times Companies •
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European governments are taking a cautious approach to energy price relief, prioritizing temporary and targeted support over broad subsidies as oil and natural gas prices surge. Finance ministers worry about adding to high government debt levels, especially with borrowing costs much higher than in early 2022. This restraint marks a shift from the expansive €90bn to €150bn packages deployed during the 2022-23 energy crisis.

Central banks face complex trade-offs as fiscal support influences inflation and interest rate paths. While temporary measures can be safely overlooked, larger relief packages may force central banks to raise rates further to counter demand-boosting effects. The European Central Bank and Bank of England prefer limited fiscal responses that don't excessively add to demand or strengthen inflation pass-through.

Current measures remain modest compared to previous crises. The UK has ruled out general subsidies, while Italy cut fuel excise duties for 20 days and Spain reduced VAT on energy. These limited interventions, totaling between €1bn and €5bn, aim to protect vulnerable households without fueling broader inflation. However, political pressures may intensify if energy prices remain elevated, potentially forcing governments to reconsider their fiscal restraint.