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Public Markets 8-Hour Briefing

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Energy & Commodities

Israeli Strikes on Iranian fuel depots have sent dark plumes of smoke over Tehran, escalating tensions in Middle East energy markets. US Energy Secretary Chris Wright sought to reassure markets that global energy supplies are sufficient and that oil price surges reflect a "fear premium" rather than fundamental shortages. Iraq Oil Output has plunged about 60% as the Iran war blocks tankers needed to transport crude, further tightening global supplies. Aramco Shares surged the most since April 2023 as the Iran war entered its second week, with supply disruptions expected to push oil prices higher when markets reopen.

Financial Markets

Bond Traders were already preparing for market turbulence before last weekend, and the Iran conflict has added new layers of complexity to their strategies. Iran Conflict has put the emerging-markets revival to the test, dealing a blow to one of Wall Street's favorite trades. Market participants are questioning whether US inflation will change the outlook for interest rates as the geopolitical situation evolves. LNG Tankers are diverting toward Asia from their course to Europe as tensions in the Middle East curb global supply and boost competition for the fuel.

Corporate & Sector News

Opinion suggests that instead of placing data centers on valuable farmland, companies could locate them on reclaimed sites throughout the Appalachian coal fields. The President's LNG Moves are criticized for putting America last, with profits from surging LNG exports by fossil fuel companies ultimately paid by American households. KKR is eyeing a multibillion-dollar sale of data center cooling company Cool IT Systems as the AI boom boosts valuations in the tech infrastructure space.

Geopolitical Impact

Europe's impotence extends to energy as the political momentum behind decarbonizing the continent's energy system has dissipated amid the Middle East crisis. Oslo Police are investigating an explosion outside the U.S. Embassy, though a motive remains unclear as of Sunday morning. Trump's War in Iran has echoes of Putin and Ukraine, with similarities between Washington's and Moscow's messaging highlighting risks of vaguely defined, open-ended conflicts. Swiss have voted to enshrine the availability of cash in their constitution, guarding against the demise of physical money.